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Canadian federal polling averages
The poll showed no significant shifts of support in Quebec since Forum’s last federal poll from Aug. 23, with the Liberals dropping two points to 36%, the NDP down one point to 23%, and the Bloc Québécois up one point to 22%. The Conservatives fell three points to 11%, while the Greens were at 5% support in the province.
As the Liberals have slipped two points over the last few weeks, and are down four points from where they stood in Forum’s polling earlier in the summer, it does not quite follow that “the charter…has moved a lot of support from other parties into the Liberal column” as Forum claims. The most that can be said is that the Liberals are on a slow, downward trend in Quebec that the charter has not yet reversed.
The table below shows the national results and the relative weights of the most recent polls included in the aggregation that, in total, represent at least 99% of the weighted sample.
The chart below shows average support in polls conducted in each month going back to January 2009.